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  • 7 hours ago
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00:00I think the best case scenario is a broad outline of what both sides feel could, you know,
00:04pave the way for larger compromises.
00:06The nuclear question, I think, despite President Trump's assurances, I don't see that getting
00:10hammered out on America's interests or the Iranian interests in the near term, because
00:14all signs point to it being deferred to a later stage.
00:17But I think, you know, I'd view President Trump's comments with a little bit of skepticism.
00:21Firstly, I think the conditions for a workable, enduring framework to be hammered out beyond
00:26just satisfying domestic constituency seems a bit difficult.
00:28Because when you talk about, for example, the key irritants to a broader consensus, be
00:34it from the U.S. or the Iranian side, is the fact that, for example, the escalations in
00:38Lebanon due to a lack of prominent checks had contributed to a spillover, which many countries
00:44in the region wanted to put a lid against.
00:46So I think when you look at the key measures of making this framework endure, if at all
00:50it passes through, I think that's where much of the homework needs to be done.
00:53And I think a key step forward for that is, A, for Iran to rethink what it feels it can
00:58project as retaliatory strikes, because obviously they don't carry the kind of legitimacy which
01:02Iran insists.
01:04And from President Trump's point of view is, you can temper down a little bit on the mixed
01:07signaling, because we've seen these promises on a deal come out many times before in past
01:11weeks as well when we spoke.
01:13But in order for it to be an enduring, workable, verifiable framework, I think the key interest
01:18of phased approach needs to come through, something which I've seen little signs of as we speak.
01:21Oh my gosh!
01:25I am.
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